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	<title>Money Maestros &#187; Legg Mason</title>
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		<title>Legg Mason&#8217;s Miller says &#8220;Bottom&#8217;s been made&#8221; in Stocks</title>
		<link>http://www.moneymaestros.com/legg-masons-miller-says-bottoms-been-made-in-stocks/</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 10 Dec 2008 11:17:48 +0000</pubDate>
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				<category><![CDATA[401K]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stocks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bill Miller]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Legg Mason]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[market bottom]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[market prediction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[S&P 500]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[stock market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[stock market bottom]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.moneymaestros.com/?p=94</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It&#8217;s been nice to see the stock market still holding up from its recent lows. All of us hated to even look at our portfolios to see how much we&#8217;ve lost over the last year or so. Nobody can predict the future to know if the worst is behind us, or there is more downside [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span class="drop_cap">I</span>t&#8217;s been nice to see the stock market still holding up from its recent lows. All of us hated to even look at our portfolios to see how much we&#8217;ve lost over the last year or so.</p>
<p>Nobody can predict the future to know if the worst is behind us, or there is more downside to come in the volatile stock market.</p>
<p>Legg Mason&#8217;s (LM) Bill Miller, who is a celebrated value investor,  but his stock picks this year have not been good.  He recently stated that the &#8220;bottom has been made&#8221; in U.S. equities, and he now forecasts opportunities for strong gains once markets begin to rally.</p>
<p>Mason bases his opinion on that act that the Federal Reserve should now buy stocks and junk bonds to avert a deeper financial crisis. He adds &#8220;the taxpayer would make a killing&#8221; as markets rebound.<br />
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<p>Speaking at Legg Mason&#8217;s annual luncheon for media, Miller commented that all long-term investors believe that stocks today are cheap.  The real issue has been that the credit markets must regain health before equity markets can really rally.</p>
<p>It &#8220;looks as if the bottom has been made&#8221; in U.S. stocks, he said.</p>
<p>Miller, who runs Legg Mason&#8217;s $7.6 billion Value Trust fund, told Reuters the year has been &#8220;terrible, a disaster and awful.&#8221; Miller feels his past performance successes in down markets as a reason why his opinions should not be counted out.</p>
<p>&#8220;We&#8217;ve performed in most of the financial panics that we&#8217;ve had &#8212; the last one being the three-year bear market ending in 2002 &#8212; we outperformed all the way through that,&#8221; he said.</p>
<p>&#8220;So even though we lost money, we lost a lot less money than the market did,&#8221; Miller added.</p>
<p>Miller did acknowledge his performance this year has been worse than in past downturns.</p>
<p>&#8220;When you&#8217;re under performing and losing more money than the market in a down market, then that&#8217;s a much more problematic situation. We&#8217;ve performed far worse than I would&#8217;ve predicted we would,&#8221; he said.</p>
<p>For the year, Miller&#8217;s flagship Value Trust (LMVTX) fund was down 59.7 percent as of Tuesday, compared to a 41 percent decline in the reinvested returns of the S&amp;P 500 index, according to Lipper Inc., a unit of Thomson Reuters.</p>
<p>Miller&#8217;s past track record of calling market bottoms also has not been that accurate.</p>
<p>In late April, one month after Bear Stearns&#8217; spectacular fall, Miller told his shareholders: &#8220;I think we will do better from here on, and that by far the worst is behind us.&#8221;</p>
<p>We can all be Monday morning quarterbacks and say &#8220;we told you so&#8221;, but at least Legg Mason&#8217;s Bill Miller  is sticking his neck out on the line.  Will be rewarded or actually have his head cut off by angry investors?  Time will tell.</p>
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